Example - Real World Risk Management

Let’s look at a real-world example of how you might actually use the 3P model to guide decisions on a cross-country trip.

Perceive hazards related to each PAVE element.

Pilot: Gayle is a healthy and well-rested private pilot with approximately 300 hours total time. Hazards include her lack of overall and cross-country experience and the fact that she has not flown at all in two months.

Aircraft: Although it does not have a panel-mount GPS or weather avoidance gear, the aircraft -- a C182 Skylane with long-range fuel tanks -- is in good mechanical condition with no inoperative equipment. The instrument panel is a standard “six-pack.”

Environment: Departure and destination airports have long runways. Weather is the main hazard. Although it is VFR, it is a typical summer day in the Mid-Atlantic region: hot (near 90° F) hazy (visibility 7 miles), and humid with a density altitude of 2,500 feet. Weather at the destination airport (located in the mountains) is still IMC, but forecast to improve to VMC prior to her arrival. Enroute weather is VMC, but there is an AIRMET Sierra for pockets of IMC over mountain ridges along the proposed route of flight.

External Pressures: Gayle is making the trip to spend a weekend with relatives she doesn’t see very often. Her family is very excited and has made a number of plans for the visit.

An example of FAA pilot PAVE checklist:

Literature:

https://www.faa.gov/training_testing/training/fits/guidance/media/personal%20minimums%20checklist.pdf

http://aviation.about.com/od/Pilot-Training/a/Pave-A-Personal-Minimums-Checklist-For-Risk-Management.htm

http://aviation.about.com/od/Regulations/tp/The-Im-Safe-Checklist.htm

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